Model line
UC San Diego −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 96%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
UC San Diego home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UC San Diego a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Baptist offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Cal Baptist O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#222 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 48.3#306 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 17.9#264 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 37.5#13 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 35.9#153 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.6#195 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 39.9#362 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 47.4#325 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 33.4#199 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 71.3#229 | FT% | — |
| 32.0#329 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Cal Baptist defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Cal Baptist D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #22267.5 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #1446.3 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #15017.0 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #4227.2 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #22836.6 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #2977.3 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #2745.5 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #3347.3 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #529.5 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #35831.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Baptist
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kansas8 | L 60–68 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah Valley120 | W 63–61 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Tech254 | W 86–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Southern Utah246 | W 82–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Abilene Christian242 | W 87–48 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
