Model line
Cal St. Fullerton −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cal St. Fullerton 72%
Projected tempo
73.3
possessions
Site
Cal St. Fullerton home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Cal St. Fullerton a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs Cal St. Fullerton defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | Cal St. Fullerton D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #275.5 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #30854.3 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #3319.5 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #7928.3 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #18735.3 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #2168.6 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #33459.7 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #34357.1 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #18034.0 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #1846.4 |
Cal St. Fullerton offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| Cal St. Fullerton O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5#2 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 51.4#174 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 15.2#76 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 24.6#345 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 37.8#106 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 8.5#99 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 55.2#108 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 51.4#197 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 34.2#159 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 71.6#215 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#108 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
Cal St. Fullerton
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Hawaii132 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UC Davis188 | W 82–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 90–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC San Diego102 | W 75–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Hawaii132 | L 85–87 |
