Model line
Memphis −0.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 53%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Memphis a 0.8-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Memphis offense vs Penn St. defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Memphis defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
