Model line
Penn St. −23.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Penn St. a 23.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee Martin offense vs Penn St. defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
