Model line
Penn St. −25.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Penn St. a 25.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Albany offense vs Penn St. defense
| Albany O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#311 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 51.3#180 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 18.5#295 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 32.7#97 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 24.9#364 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 9.4#171 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 48.9#266 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 52.8#134 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 32.6#248 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 65.9#354 | FT% | — |
| 37.6#220 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Albany defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Albany D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #31165.6 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #27353.2 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #22915.8 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #27532.4 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #20235.7 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #5511.8 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #29156.4 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #22452.7 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #29936.0 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #13940.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Albany
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMass Lowell306 | L 76–81 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Vermont189 | L 56–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Maine337 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UMBC285 | L 62–66 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
