Model line
Penn St. −21.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Penn St. a 21.3-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chattanooga offense vs Penn St. defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Chattanooga defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
