Model line
Penn St. −23.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Penn St. a 23.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs Penn St. defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
