Model line
Penn St. −28.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. >99%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Penn St. a 28.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Haven offense vs Penn St. defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs New Haven defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
