Model line
Penn St. −25.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Penn St. a 25.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs Penn St. defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Lafayette defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
