Model line
Penn St. −25.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Penn St. a 25.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Penn St. defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Canisius defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
