Model line
Ohio St. −40.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Ohio St. a 40.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
