Model line
Notre Dame −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 58%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
42%Win probability58%
The model makes Notre Dame a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
