Model line
Ohio St. −34.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio St. >99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Ohio St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Ohio St. a 34.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMBC offense vs Ohio St. defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Ohio St. offense vs UMBC defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
