Model line
Connecticut −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut 90%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Connecticut a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ohio St. offense vs Connecticut defense
| Ohio St. O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#280 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 56.2#21 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 15.3#88 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 30.4#186 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 37.2#124 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 8.9#139 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 52.6#175 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 58.0#23 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 35.7#75 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 77.7#23 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#170 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Ohio St. defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Ohio St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #28066.4 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #11250.2 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #24715.6 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #16030.0 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #17134.7 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #3117.0 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #21053.3 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #18951.9 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #6231.9 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #15240.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ohio St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | TCU50 | L 64–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Michigan24 | L 67–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Iowa41 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Indiana37 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Penn St.90 | W 94–62 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
