Model line
Minnesota −21.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Minnesota a 21.4-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UTSA offense vs Minnesota defense
| UTSA O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs UTSA defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
