Model line
Minnesota −0.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 53%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Minnesota a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs SMU defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Minnesota defense
| SMU O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
