Model line
Minnesota −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota 65%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Minnesota a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
California offense vs Minnesota defense
| California O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs California defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
