Model line
Minnesota −32.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota >99%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Minnesota a 32.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Illinois offense vs Minnesota defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
