Model line
Minnesota −27.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Minnesota >99%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Minnesota home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Minnesota a 27.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Minnesota defense
| Southern O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Minnesota offense vs Southern defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
