Model line
Cincinnati −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 90%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Cincinnati a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Minnesota offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Minnesota O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0#365 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 54.2#63 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.6#171 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 27.2#288 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 35.9#155 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 12.0#342 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 72.0#1 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 56.0#43 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 34.8#130 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 70.0#274 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#31 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Minnesota defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Minnesota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #36563.0 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #20551.9 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #14217.1 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #14929.8 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #2527.3 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #2488.2 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #34961.4 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #17751.7 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #22934.7 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #10441.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Minnesota
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Baylor32 | L 48–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Rutgers75 | L 67–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Northwestern85 | W 67–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Indiana37 | L 47–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UCLA18 | W 78–73 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
