Model line
Indiana −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 73%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Indiana home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Indiana a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Indiana defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs Missouri defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
