Model line
Indiana −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 86%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Indiana home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Indiana a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCF offense vs Indiana defense
| UCF O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs UCF defense
| Indiana O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
