Model line
Arkansas −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 61%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
61%Win probability39%
The model makes Arkansas a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs Indiana defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs Arkansas defense
| Indiana O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
