Model line
Southern Illinois −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Southern Illinois 78%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Southern Illinois a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee Martin offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Tennessee Martin O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#299 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 48.7#298 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 21.4#358 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 37.0#18 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 37.4#120 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 10.9#295 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 56.2#85 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 51.5#194 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 30.3#339 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 67.7#330 | FT% | — |
| 47.1#32 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Southern Illinois offense vs Tennessee Martin defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Tennessee Martin D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #29966.0 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #1346.1 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #2420.0 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #25932.0 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #20735.8 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #4612.3 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #21453.4 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #2546.7 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #1030.2 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #18439.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee Martin
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 55–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Eastern Illinois358 | W 66–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Tennessee St.204 | L 42–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Tennessee Tech226 | W 64–49 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Little Rock219 | L 65–67 |
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
