Model line
St. John's −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. John's 69%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
31%Win probability69%
The model makes St. John's a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon offense vs St. John's defense
| Oregon O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#270 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 49.5#266 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 17.6#247 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 32.3#113 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 35.0#181 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 9.5#188 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 59.0#43 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 50.5#237 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 32.1#277 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 73.0#170 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#120 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
St. John's offense vs Oregon defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Oregon D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #27066.5 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #15350.9 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #23915.7 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #27432.3 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #10532.0 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #5911.7 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #19952.9 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #16651.5 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #14633.4 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #9542.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Maryland46 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Washington78 | W 85–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Illinois7 | L 54–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northwestern85 | L 62–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wisconsin35 | W 85–71 |
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
