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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Louisville · #15 · ACC · 0–0Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ETESPNMichelob ULTRA Arena · Las Vegas, NV
Model line
Texas Tech −0.1
Win probability
Texas Tech 50%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
50%Win probability50%

The model makes Texas Tech a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 50 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas Tech offense vs Louisville defense

Texas Tech OStatLouisville D
67.9#206Tempo#5371.0
56.7#13eFG%#5348.7
15.8#126TOV%#17316.7
33.3#84ORB%#5027.5
27.3#350FT rate#13133.0
7.4#26Block%#1889.1
55.3#107Assist%#9549.3
54.1#832P%#6248.9
39.7#33P%#7632.3
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#18039.5

Louisville offense vs Texas Tech defense

Louisville OStatTexas Tech D
71.0#53Tempo#20667.9
56.5#18eFG%#8049.4
16.8#183TOV%#31014.7
32.8#94ORB%#16730.1
33.1#234FT rate#9931.7
12.5#348Block%#1639.6
59.6#37Assist%#641.7
59.4#122P%#12550.7
36.0#583P%#4231.3
76.1#49FT%—
52.9#43PA rate#31935.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73

Louisville

Sat, Mar 21NMichigan St.9L 69–77
Thu, Mar 19NSouth Florida92W 83–79
Thu, Mar 12NMiami FL13L 73–78
Wed, Mar 11NSMU59W 62–58
Sat, Mar 7AMiami FL13W 92–89