Model line
Miami FL −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 67%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
67%Win probability33%
The model makes Miami FL a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami FL offense vs TCU defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
TCU offense vs Miami FL defense
| TCU O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
