Model line
Illinois −28.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 28.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Seattle offense vs Illinois defense
| Seattle O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#165 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 49.3#280 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 17.0#204 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 24.3#346 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 34.7#193 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 9.3#168 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 53.5#151 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 49.2#276 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 32.9#238 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 70.7#251 | FT% | — |
| 39.0#191 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Seattle defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Seattle D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #16568.7 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #4148.1 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #621.4 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #24831.8 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #11332.3 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #1414.0 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #23254.2 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #4448.2 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #6532.0 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #25037.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Seattle
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Auburn27 | L 85–91 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 67–52 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Pacific141 | L 58–61 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | San Diego157 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | W 71–66 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
