Model line
Illinois −27.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 27.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Kentucky offense vs Illinois defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
