Model line
Illinois −40.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 40.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Eastern Illinois offense vs Illinois defense
| Eastern Illinois O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#284 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 45.7#353 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 18.6#302 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 28.2#257 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 33.5#223 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 11.7#330 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 48.7#273 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 44.9#354 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 31.7#289 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 74.4#105 | FT% | — |
| 29.9#352 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Eastern Illinois defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Eastern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #28466.2 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #14550.8 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #3819.3 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #34135.2 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #18935.3 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #2178.6 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #31758.0 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #24353.1 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #5331.7 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #11941.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Eastern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | L 63–66 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | SIU Edwardsville281 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 50–77 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Lindenwood303 | W 71–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 68–70 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
