Model line
Illinois −34.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 34.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sam Houston St. offense vs Illinois defense
| Sam Houston St. O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#73 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 52.5#126 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 16.8#186 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 35.9#28 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 34.4#200 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 8.4#95 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 52.6#176 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 50.6#231 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 37.2#24 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 71.6#219 | FT% | — |
| 35.8#253 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Sam Houston St. defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Sam Houston St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #7370.6 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #17951.4 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #22116.1 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #16530.1 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #22936.7 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #2847.6 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #12350.4 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #24953.3 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #8832.5 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #10041.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sam Houston St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | New Mexico66 | L 83–107 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 73–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | New Mexico St.140 | W 69–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Liberty149 | L 72–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Delaware258 | L 80–83 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
