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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Illinois · #7 · B10 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Nov 10 · 8:00 PM ETPeacockUnited Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −4.2
Win probability
Texas Tech 67%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
33%Win probability67%

The model makes Texas Tech a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Illinois offense vs Texas Tech defense

Illinois OStatTexas Tech D
66.2#285Tempo#20667.9
55.3#35eFG%#8049.4
13.0#6TOV%#31014.7
39.2#3ORB%#16730.1
32.7#245FT rate#9931.7
8.4#92Block%#1639.6
50.9#219Assist%#641.7
58.1#202P%#12550.7
35.0#1143P%#4231.3
78.4#13FT%—
50.4#153PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs Illinois defense

Texas Tech OStatIllinois D
67.9#206Tempo#28566.2
56.7#13eFG%#3247.5
15.8#126TOV%#36511.7
33.3#84ORB%#3326.8
27.3#350FT rate#119.7
7.4#26Block%#3812.5
55.3#107Assist%#13050.7
54.1#832P%#4648.3
39.7#33P%#3631.0
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#8342.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Illinois

Sat, Apr 4NConnecticut3L 62–71
Sat, Mar 28NIowa41W 71–59
Thu, Mar 26NHouston4W 65–55
Sat, Mar 21NVCU53W 76–55
Thu, Mar 19NPenn123W 105–70

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73