Model line
Illinois −40.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 40.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairleigh Dickinson offense vs Illinois defense
| Fairleigh Dickinson O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#353 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 47.1#334 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 18.1#276 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 32.0#123 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 32.8#238 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 9.4#174 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 51.0#216 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 48.6#293 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 30.3#338 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 70.1#269 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#62 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Fairleigh Dickinson defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Fairleigh Dickinson D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #35364.1 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #33555.2 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #21816.1 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #4627.3 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #21936.3 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #3614.7 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #15151.3 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #28254.1 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #35437.8 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #14440.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairleigh Dickinson
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Mercyhurst294 | L 61–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | LIU262 | L 60–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Le Moyne319 | L 59–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | New Haven351 | L 77–84 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Chicago St.347 | W 60–59 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
