Model line
Northern Colorado −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Colorado 89%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Northern Colorado home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Northern Colorado a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Northern Colorado offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
