Model line
Montana −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana 56%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Montana home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Montana a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Montana defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Montana offense vs Montana St. defense
| Montana O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
