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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Idaho St. · #327 · BSky · 0–0Montana St. · #134 · BSky · 0–0Sat, Feb 20 · 8:00 PM ETWorthington Arena · Bozeman, MT
Model line
Montana St. −17.9
Win probability
Montana St. 97%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Montana St. home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes Montana St. a 17.9-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Idaho St. offense vs Montana St. defense

Idaho St. OStatMontana St. D
67.0#244Tempo#22867.4
51.8#155eFG%#19551.7
17.0#200TOV%#23815.7
32.8#93ORB%#7528.2
37.9#105FT rate#5129.6
8.8#134Block%#3007.3
47.0#303Assist%#1243.2
52.9#1322P%#18451.8
33.6#1903P%#20134.3
74.1#125FT%—
41.9#1343PA rate#33134.3

Montana St. offense vs Idaho St. defense

Montana St. OStatIdaho St. D
67.4#228Tempo#24467.0
53.6#81eFG%#31454.5
14.7#49TOV%#30714.7
27.0#296ORB%#6527.9
30.2#305FT rate#26138.0
7.5#31Block%#7811.2
39.9#363Assist%#7448.3
53.1#1262P%#32856.1
36.1#563P%#21634.5
74.0#135FT%—
44.7#753PA rate#26037.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Idaho St.

Sun, Mar 8NPortland St.209L 78–85
Sat, Mar 7NNorthern Arizona308W 73–65
Mon, Mar 2ASacramento St.174L 65–83
Sat, Feb 28HWeber St.288L 73–83
Sat, Feb 21HMontana St.134W 91–76

Montana St.

Sun, Mar 8NIdaho238L 74–78
Mon, Mar 2ANorthern Arizona308W 76–65
Sat, Feb 28HSacramento St.174W 82–61
Thu, Feb 26HPortland St.209W 84–69
Sat, Feb 21AIdaho St.327L 76–91