Model line
Montana −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana 88%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Montana home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Montana a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho St. offense vs Montana defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Montana offense vs Idaho St. defense
| Montana O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
