Model line
Northern Colorado −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Colorado 55%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Idaho St. home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Northern Colorado a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Colorado offense vs Idaho St. defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Idaho St. offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
