Model line
Idaho −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 76%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Idaho home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Idaho a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs Idaho defense
| Montana O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs Montana defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
