Model line
Idaho −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 55%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Idaho home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Idaho a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Idaho defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs Montana St. defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
