Model line
Northern Colorado −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Colorado 85%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Northern Colorado home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Northern Colorado a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Montana O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Northern Colorado offense vs Montana defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
