Model line
Northern Colorado −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Colorado 64%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Northern Colorado home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Northern Colorado a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Northern Colorado offense vs Montana St. defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
