Model line
Northern Arizona −8.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Arizona 82%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Northern Arizona home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Northern Arizona a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho St. offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Northern Arizona offense vs Idaho St. defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
