Model line
Montana −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana 86%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Montana home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Montana a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Montana defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Montana offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Montana O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
