Model line
Idaho −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 68%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Idaho home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Idaho a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Colorado offense vs Idaho defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
