Model line
Idaho −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Idaho 88%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Idaho home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Idaho a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Idaho defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Idaho offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
