Model line
Montana St. −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana St. 73%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Idaho St. home
73%Win probability27%
The model makes Montana St. a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Idaho St. defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Idaho St. offense vs Montana St. defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
