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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Colorado · #174 · BSky · 1–0Montana St. · #149 · BSky · 0–1Sat, Jan 2 · 8:00 PM ETWorthington Arena · Bozeman, MT
Model line
Montana St. −6.8
Win probability
Montana St. 76%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Montana St. home
24%Win probability76%

The model makes Montana St. a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Colorado offense vs Montana St. defense

Northern Colorado OStatMontana St. D
—Tempo#8173.3
—eFG%#20560.2
—TOV%#6221.8
—ORB%#8026.9
—FT rate#15240.7
—Block%#2152.9
—Assist%#13055.2
—2P%#19862.9
—3P%#16436.8
—FT%—
—3PA rate#18635.2

Montana St. offense vs Northern Colorado defense

Montana St. OStatNorthern Colorado D
73.3#81Tempo—
50.0#128eFG%—
15.0#71TOV%—
20.0#222ORB%—
27.4#172FT rate—
10.7#146Block%—
40.0#211Assist%—
46.4#1722P%—
35.3#933P%—
70.6#110FT%—
54.8#223PA rate—

Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Colorado

Mon, Nov 2HColorado CollW 117–64
Mon, Mar 9NMontana237L 89–95
Mon, Mar 2HMontana237W 85–57
Sat, Feb 28AIdaho227W 76–67
Thu, Feb 26AEastern Washington165L 72–82

Montana St.

Mon, Nov 2AColorado St.85L 74–84
Sun, Mar 8NIdaho227L 74–78
Mon, Mar 2ANorthern Arizona295W 76–65
Sat, Feb 28HSacramento St.183W 82–61
Thu, Feb 26HPortland St.192W 84–69