Model line
Montana St. −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Montana St. 67%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Northern Arizona home
67%Win probability33%
The model makes Montana St. a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Northern Arizona offense vs Montana St. defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
