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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Maine · #337 · AE · 0–0Vermont · #189 · AE · 0–0Tue, Mar 2 · 7:00 PM ETPatrick Gymnasium · Burlington, VT
Model line
Vermont −14.1
Win probability
Vermont 93%
Projected tempo
68.4
possessions
Site
Vermont home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes Vermont a 14.1-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Maine offense vs Vermont defense

Maine OStatVermont D
64.9#333Tempo#34864.4
49.6#258eFG%#12350.4
19.1#326TOV%#30514.8
19.7#364ORB%#223.0
38.4#92FT rate#22536.4
9.0#144Block%#2348.5
54.4#129Assist%#7648.3
51.2#2052P%#5448.6
31.2#3153P%#26735.3
64.3#363FT%—
37.0#2303PA rate#12141.2

Vermont offense vs Maine defense

Vermont OStatMaine D
64.4#348Tempo#33364.9
53.1#103eFG%#13550.6
14.3#36TOV%#3619.4
26.2#319ORB%#32334.3
31.1#280FT rate#14933.9
8.3#86Block%#1899.1
47.9#291Assist%#17752.4
55.7#472P%#29554.5
33.3#2143P%#429.3
71.9#212FT%—
44.6#773PA rate#26836.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Maine

Sat, Mar 7ANJIT336L 58–60
Tue, Mar 3HUMass Lowell306L 56–67
Sat, Feb 28ABinghamton349L 67–74
Thu, Feb 26AAlbany330W 70–59
Sat, Feb 21ANew Hampshire342W 61–58

Vermont

Sat, Mar 14AUMBC285L 59–74
Tue, Mar 10HNJIT336W 63–54
Sat, Mar 7HBryant320W 77–57
Tue, Mar 3HAlbany330W 69–56
Thu, Feb 26HUMass Lowell306W 66–64